Semantic analysis, in practice: a phrase in the prompt names the case type, the case type tells you what the interviewer is likely holding, and that tells you which table to draw before the numbers arrive. Each card is one signal. The pre-drawn table is a row of column headers with units; the numbers get written in as they are handed over.
01
should we invest / acquire / buy
Investment or acquisition
What you will likely be handed
A purchase price or upfront cost, the target's or project's revenue and cost, and a horizon. Sometimes synergies, usually optimistic.
The table to pre-draw
- Price ($)
- Volume (units per year)
- Revenue ($M per year)
- Variable cost ($M per year)
- Fixed cost ($M per year)
- One-time cost ($M)
- Horizon (years)
- Payback (years)
Zeros rule for any table with money in it: write in millions, 22.8M not 22,800,000, and keep one unit per column. A column that mixes dollars and thousands of dollars is where the arithmetic goes wrong.
First clarifying question
What return does the client need from this, and over what horizon?
02
should we enter
Market entry
What you will likely be handed
Market size and growth, competitor shares, the client's likely price and unit cost, and an entry cost. Occasionally a choice of entry mode.
The table to pre-draw
- Market size ($M or units)
- Growth (% per year)
- Reachable share (%)
- Price ($)
- Variable cost ($ per unit)
- Entry cost ($M)
- Break-even (units)
First clarifying question
Why does the client want to enter, and does the new market have to stand on its own profit or support the core business?
03
profits have declined
Profitability
What you will likely be handed
Revenue and cost for the last few years, often split by product, segment or region, and sometimes a competitor benchmark.
The table to pre-draw
- Year
- Volume (units)
- Price ($)
- Revenue ($M)
- Variable cost ($M)
- Fixed cost ($M)
- Profit ($M)
- Margin (%)
First clarifying question
Since when, by how much, and is it revenue, cost or both that moved?
04
revenue is flat while the market grows
Growth
What you will likely be handed
The market growth rate, competitor shares over time, the client's price against the market, and a segment or channel mix.
The table to pre-draw
- Segment
- Market size ($M)
- Market growth (% per year)
- Client revenue ($M)
- Client share (%)
- Price versus market ($)
First clarifying question
Is the whole market growing or one segment of it, and where is the client losing share?
05
costs are rising
Cost and operations
What you will likely be handed
A cost breakdown by line for two periods, volume for the same periods, and sometimes supplier or wage data.
The table to pre-draw
- Cost line
- Fixed or variable
- Last year ($M)
- This year ($M)
- Change (%)
- Per unit ($ per unit)
First clarifying question
Which cost lines are rising, and has volume changed with them?
06
whether to re-sign / renew / keep
Renewal, a profitability case against an alternative
What you will likely be handed
The current economics of the arrangement: capacity, fill, price and events per year, the cost of the contract and of running it, then an alternative with its own cost and a one-time switching cost.
The table to pre-draw
- Seats or units
- Fill (%)
- Price ($)
- Events (per year)
- Revenue ($M per year)
- Cost ($M per year)
- Profit ($M per year)
- Switching payback (years)
Zeros rule for any table with money in it: write in millions, 22.8M not 22,800,000, and keep one unit per column. A column that mixes dollars and thousands of dollars is where the arithmetic goes wrong.
First clarifying question
Is the client solving for bottom-line profit alone, and over the length of the contract or longer?
Worked case. The worked case. Revenue came to $95,000 per show and $22.8M a year; costs to $4.8M; the alternative act earned $0.6M more a year but took four years to pay back its $2.4M switching cost.
07
launch a new product
New product
What you will likely be handed
A target customer count, an adoption or trial rate, a price, a unit cost, a development cost, and sometimes the sales it would take from an existing product.
The table to pre-draw
- Customers (count)
- Adoption (%)
- Price ($)
- Variable cost ($ per unit)
- Contribution ($ per unit)
- Development cost ($M)
- Cannibalized sales ($M)
- Break-even (units)
First clarifying question
Who is the customer, and does the product replace anything the client already sells?
08
how should we price
Pricing
What you will likely be handed
Unit cost, competitor prices, willingness to pay by segment, and volume at two or three price points.
The table to pre-draw
- Segment
- Willingness to pay ($)
- Competitor price ($)
- Variable cost ($ per unit)
- Price ($)
- Volume (units)
- Contribution ($M)
First clarifying question
Is this a new price or a change to an existing one, and is the goal margin, share or volume?
09
capacity / backlog / wait times
Operations and capacity
What you will likely be handed
Demand per period, the steps of the process with a time per unit each, how many stations work each step, and current utilization.
The table to pre-draw
- Step
- Time per unit (minutes)
- Stations (count)
- Capacity (units per hour)
- Demand (units per hour)
- Utilization (%)
First clarifying question
Where is the queue forming, and is demand steady or does it peak?
10
which of two options
Comparison of options
What you will likely be handed
The same inputs for both options side by side, usually with one option carrying an upfront cost and the other carrying a risk.
The table to pre-draw
- Option
- Revenue ($M per year)
- Cost ($M per year)
- Profit ($M per year)
- One-time cost ($M)
- Payback (years)
- Main risk
Zeros rule for any table with money in it: write in millions, 22.8M not 22,800,000, and keep one unit per column. A column that mixes dollars and thousands of dollars is where the arithmetic goes wrong.
First clarifying question
On what basis does the client want to compare them, profit, risk or speed, and over what horizon?
11
estimate the size of
Market sizing
What you will likely be handed
Almost nothing. The population, rates and prices are yours to propose; the interviewer confirms or adjusts each step.
The table to pre-draw
- Population (count)
- Eligible (%)
- Adopters (%)
- Frequency (per year)
- Price ($)
- Market ($M per year)
First clarifying question
Is this the total market or the client's reachable share, and in units or dollars per year?
12
a competitor just
Competitive response
What you will likely be handed
What the competitor did, a price cut, a launch or an entry, which of the client's customers it reaches, and the client's cost position against it.
The table to pre-draw
- Segment
- Client volume (units)
- At risk (%)
- Contribution ($ per unit)
- Profit at risk ($M)
- Response cost ($M)
First clarifying question
What exactly did the competitor do, and which of the client's customers can it reach?